Introduction
If you’ve been learning price action and weekly market structure, the Thursday Counter Weekly Profile is one of those profiles that can sharpen your directional bias significantly. It’s not just about recognizing a setup it’s about understanding what the market is showing from Monday through Friday.
In this guide, we’ll break down how the Thursday counter forms, why it works, and how you can actually trade it with confidence.
What Is a Thursday Counter Weekly Profile?
At its core, a Thursday counter is a weekly reversal setup that forms after a directional push early in the week.
Here’s the simple idea
- Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday push price in one direction
- No meaningful opposing low or high is formed during that move
- Thursday reverses or counters that range
- Friday often continues in the new direction
Think of it as the market overextending early in the week then correcting itself.
The Key Requirements
For this profile to be valid, a few conditions should be in place
Directional expansion from Monday through Wednesday
Price consistently moves away from the weekly open
No significant opposing level formed
This means no strong low in a bullish move or high in a bearish move
Thursday reversal candle
Often includes a wick and closes against the earlier trend
Clear intent to rebalance price
Typically targeting the weekly open, current week high or low, or failure swings
Bullish vs Bearish Scenarios
Bearish Setup
- Monday through Wednesday push upward
- Thursday reverses downward
- Friday continues lower
Bullish Setup
- Monday through Wednesday push downward
- Thursday reverses upward
- Friday continues higher
The logic is the same only the direction changes.
How to Actually Trade It
Once Thursday forms, you have two main approaches
Trade the Thursday reversal
- Look for a smaller wick
- Confirm with SMT divergence
- Enter during the reversal day itself
Trade Friday continuation
- Wait for confirmation inside Thursday’s range
- Drop to a lower timeframe such as one hour
- Look for a change in the state of delivery
- Enter on continuation toward targets
The second approach is generally easier because there is confirmation for price to continue.
The Role of Change in State of Delivery
Inside Thursday’s range, you’re looking for a change in the state of delivery
This confirms that the wick on the daily chart is a reversal.
What Are You Targeting?
Once in a trade, your targets should be logical and aligned with the weekly structure
- Weekly open which is the most common
- Current week high or low
- Areas of liquidity such as failure swings
When This Setup Works Best
You’ll typically see stronger results when
- There is clear early week momentum
- Thursday forms a decisive rejection with a clean wick or strong move
- Lower timeframe confirms direction
- Targets are within realistic range based on volatility
When these align, the move can be clean and one sided.
Final Thoughts
The Thursday Counter Weekly Profile is powerful because it combines time based structure with price behavior. It forces you to think beyond single candles and instead understand how the week unfolds as a whole.
Mastering this concept helps you build a clearer daily bias and align your trades with how price is likely to rebalance within the week.